Political expert and serviceman Oleksandr Musiienko stated that while Trump might broker a ceasefire in the Middle East, he is already doubting his ability to end the Russia-Ukraine war, according to Politeka.
He shared this in his blog.
According to the expert, Netanyahu is set to meet with Trump in Washington and will ask for permission to occasionally strike Iranian territory. However, it’s unlikely the U.S. president will agree to this, as he’s not interested in prolonging the war in the Middle East—especially since there’s a chance to establish a lasting ceasefire there. In addition, he notes, the Israeli Prime Minister insists on dismantling the military wing in Iran but is open to dialogue on de-escalation.
“De-escalation in the Middle East could be positive for Ukraine—it would mean a drop in oil prices. That’s very good for weakening Russia, this pseudo-imperial gas station with inflated ambitions, by reducing its oil revenues—at the very least, it would help curb their bloodthirsty appetites. The forecast is that oil prices will fall. The U.S. has passed Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Law’, which includes subsidies and tax breaks for oil and petroleum producers, while reducing support for green energy. The situation in the Middle East has somewhat stabilized, and OPEC has announced plans to increase oil production—this too will contribute to falling prices. So, let’s keep our fingers crossed,” Musiienko comments.
As for the Russia-Ukraine war, the expert notes that Trump said he was disappointed by his conversation with Putin. But it’s been several days since that statement, and the U.S. president hasn’t moved past the stage of disappointment. Moreover, Musiienko adds, Trump recently said he’s not even sure whether he’ll be able to end the war at all.
“From ‘ending the war in 24 hours’ to ‘I don’t know if it can happen’—that’s the evolution in just six months. Certain factors were overlooked, there was overconfidence, and most importantly—completely misguided expectations were placed on Putin, that something could be resolved, that the Russian dictator could change. No—he retains his aggressive, cynical, and criminal nature,” Musiienko concludes.
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