Political analyst Ruslan Biziayev explained that the first phase of the new global war ended with the annexation of Crimea in 2014, and now the second phase has begun, during which opposing blocs are being formed, Politeka reports.
He spoke about this on Ruslan Bortnik’s channel.
According to the expert, we often hear that the old world order, established between Potsdam and Helsinki, is already dead—but it is unclear what has replaced it. People say, he continues, that we are in a state of "controlled chaos"—in the Middle East, that may still be true—but even at the diplomatic level between the US, EU, and China, the situation has already shifted. In the expert’s view, humanity is facing the challenge of transitioning to the next technological stage, but outdated political elites fail to recognize the demands of the times. As a result, they continue to play by old rules and rely on the same instrument—war.
“The first phase [of the global war] has already passed. I believe it began on September 11, 2001, and ended around February 2014. It started with the attack on the Twin Towers, followed by the Iraq campaign, the war in Afghanistan, the five-day war between Russia and Georgia, the Arab Spring, and a whole series of color revolutions that swept through the Middle East. It effectively ended in February 2014 with the annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation. After that, the second phase began—what we are witnessing to this day. This is the phase in which two opposing blocs are forming,” explains Ruslan Biziayev.
Recently, he notes, we saw tensions escalate between India and Pakistan—both nuclear powers—as well as a war between Israel and Iran, a nuclear state and an almost-nuclear state. In both cases, the expert observes, the situation became extremely tense, emotions ran high, but nuclear weapons were not used.
“There will be some new form of hybrid war, in which, I hope, nuclear weapons will not be used—or will not launch. I don’t have a definite answer, but for now, as far as I can tell, there is some kind of informal consensus that we don’t press the red button,” concludes Ruslan Biziayev.
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