Political analyst Ruslan Bortnyk has argued that even NATO’s own members are starting to lose faith in the Alliance.
He shared his thoughts in a blog post:
“Everyone laughs and wonders why Putin has begun talking about the EU. It’s because a model is now being shaped for Ukraine: that Ukraine will not become a NATO member, but could become a member of the EU. Moreover, Putin himself said the same thing—notice, in sync with Yanukovych—that they were never against Ukraine joining the EU,” Bortnyk noted.
According to the expert, Russia is playing its own game: it pretends to “let” Ukraine go to the EU, into the Western political and economic sphere, but not into the Western security sphere—not into NATO. “In other words,” he says, “Russia wants to define Ukraine’s security for itself.”
“Right now NATO is failing to satisfy even its own members. On July 17, Germany and the United Kingdom signed a defense pact—an agreement on mutual defense. France and the UK agreed to synchronize their nuclear response forces. Do you think, if they felt fully protected under NATO, they would be forming these internal agreements—causing major jealousy and increasing distrust inside NATO?” Bortnyk asserted.
NATO—especially under the current U.S. president—“provides no real guarantees of protection to its members, even if they pay for it; NATO is fragmenting,” the analyst concluded. “Even more so, it’s unrealistic to expect NATO to offer security guarantees to Ukraine except by reaching an arrangement with Moscow, because the Alliance itself fears getting into conflict and suffering losses. So the question arises: what kind of military bloc is this, really?”
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