Political strategist Mikhail Sheitelman said that after the elimination of Ali Khamenei, a rift has emerged over the question of a successor—something that will also arise in Russia when Putin dies, Politeka reports.
He spoke about this on his blog.
“Local media write that Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Ali Khamenei, has been chosen as the next leader. They also say that Mojtaba Khamenei is even more radical than Ali Khamenei. One Khamenei has died, so a new Khamenei must be chosen. But, as it turns out, things in this world are not so straightforward. It appears that not everyone agrees, including within the clergy. The election of Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader of Iran was not welcomed by the ayatollahs themselves; it happened under pressure from the IRGC—that is, the security structures. Roughly speaking, in our terms, it’s as if the FSB pressured the Russian State Duma to choose a new Volodin. That’s roughly what has happened in Iran now,” Sheitelman says.
The ayatollahs are unhappy, he explains, because the goal of the revolution was to overthrow the Shah’s regime, where power was passed down by inheritance. Now it turns out that after Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Spiritual Leader will be his son, which resembles a kind of hereditary system. In other words, the expert says, people are starting to ask why the Shah was overthrown at all if power is still being passed on by inheritance. Such thoughts are now appearing in Iranian society.
“This is the point of conflict, the crack that could emerge within the regime. This is something that could also happen with Putin. People discuss: if Putin dies, will the war end? Yes, because a similar crack will appear. The son of Patrushev? Why the son? That’s not what we agreed on. That’s the kind of story it is,” Sheitelman claims.
As for the son of Shah Pahlavi, the expert notes that things are not going so well there either, although many expect him to arrive by helicopter and become the supreme ruler of Iran. In his opinion, this can be compared to Navalny, who understood that if he stayed abroad, no one would invite him to the throne even in the event of Putin’s death, which is why he returned to Russia—but he was imprisoned, even though he tried to fight for power. Therefore, the expert concludes, if Pahlavi wants to take power in Iran, he would need to create an Iranian volunteer corps and advance on Tehran—then he might have a chance.
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