We Can and Have the Chances to Break Through Moscow’s Air Defenses, Expert Says About the May 9 Parade

He spoke about this on his blog.

According to the expert, a ceasefire is, of course, an option, especially since the information campaign is already producing results: the Kremlin has canceled parades in 15 regions, and all available air defense systems have been concentrated around Moscow. However, he notes, this would potentially lead to de-escalation for only a few days, making such a scenario unlikely and ineffective. The second option, the expert continues, would be strikes on military facilities, oil refineries, and oil export infrastructure, where air defenses are currently weaker — although strikes on Moscow are also possible.

“Moscow will be protected by a large number of air defense systems. By the way, does anyone think this is a panacea? No. In reality, everything depends on the amount of weaponry we can deploy and accumulate — for example, by refraining from strikes on Russian territory for several days while preparing to break through the air defense ring around Moscow by stockpiling missiles such as the ‘Flamingo,’ along with drones like the ‘Liutyi.’ We can, and we do have chances to penetrate the air defenses around Moscow. The capability exists, at the very least to trigger missile alerts in the Moscow region and in Moscow itself,” explained Oleksandr Musiienko.

It is clear, he states, that in such situations Vladimir Putin hides in bunkers, and it is also clear that a body double will appear on Red Square on May 9, but such a strike would still represent a Ukrainian victory. According to the expert, it would damage Putin’s reputation and image and prove that Ukrainian drones are capable of reaching Moscow.

“This is a major symbol. It would mean a decline in Putin’s ratings because he cannot provide protection. Russia is already being forced to cancel parades in the regions, and if it also has to cancel the one in Moscow... all of this destroys many Russian myths and ideological pillars. And it demonstrates our determination, our strength, and our capabilities. Personally, I lean toward the third option. If we are already driving this wave of pressure and escalation in the information space, then we should carry it through into reality,” concluded Oleksandr Musiienko.