Political scientist Ruslan Bortnik commented on a report by Politico suggesting that the Russia-Ukraine war could end in 2026, evaluating whether this is realistic in terms of historical patterns, as reported by Politeka.
He shared his thoughts in his blog.
According to the expert, neither Politico, nor Putin, nor Trump, nor Zelensky know what will happen in six months because this is a very multi-layered game. He explains that the current global situation can be compared to a chess game, not involving just two players, but 17, each making moves in a chaotic order, with participants behind the scenes offering advice or even undermining the players, replacing them with others.
"I don’t think Politico knows that the war will end in 2026. Let me remind you that the IMF, a global organization that many believe is controlled by Freemasons or Martians, has predicted the war in Ukraine would end in 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025. I don’t know if they’ll make a prediction for 2026, but I expect it to be the same. The World Bank has been just as optimistic," explains Ruslan Bortnik.
The maximum realistic scenario for 2026, according to the expert, would be a temporary ceasefire, which is unlikely to last more than 1-2 years. As for resolving the causes of the war, Bortnik notes that we are still very far from that, as the strategic balance between the countries has not changed, no one is willing to concede, there’s no imminent capitulation on the horizon, and internal destabilization affects all sides equally.
"Unfortunately, a full geopolitical resolution could take much longer. If we consider historical patterns, the war could last until around 2040-2045. The resolution of conflicts like this typically takes about 30 years, plus or minus 10 years. We’re talking about the complete finalization of legal borders, the division of spheres of influence, and the establishment of strategic stability in the region. Until that time, the region will continue to experience instability," concludes Ruslan Bortnik.
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